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Analysis 4 Sept 2026, 8:46 am · Routine 4 Sept 2026, 8:30 am

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Queue 2
Open Picks 3
Accuracy 31.3%

Market

Live tape

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NIFTY 50

Banks locked in 3-5 year cheap-dollar funding and the system is flush with ₹6.65 lakh crore of liquidity, whi...

NA NA
Sensex

Foreign money is coming back as the FCNR-driven BoP cushion and a softer US data run reduce the case for aggr...

NA NA
Gold

Banks have 3-5 years of cheap, hedge-protected dollars (SBI and ICICI alone raised ~$31bn and ~$17.9bn) plus...

NA NA

Candidates

Shortlist

Picks
Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone

ADANIPORTS • Ports & Logistics • large cap • target 9%

Adani Ports runs India's largest port network — roughly a quarter of the country's sea cargo moves through its terminals.

sector_tailwind

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Market summary

Open
  • Nifty closed at 23,873.45 (-0.17%), its fourth straight down session, and Sensex at 76,152.86 (-0.55%), but the last-15-minute expi...
  • Banks were the day's story: RBI data released Sep 3 showed the FCNR-B swap window had raised $136.38 billion before closing — rough...
  • Adani Ports was the top Nifty 50 gainer, +2.02% to ~₹1,707, after reporting record August cargo of ~50 million tonnes (+19% YoY) wi...
  • Institutions remained net buyers of the dip: FIIs net sold ₹2,346 crore on Sep 3 (₹1 crore is about US$105,000 at today's ~₹95/US$...

Flow

FII / DII

bullish
FII -₹2,346 crore net sell on Sep 3 (NSE cash provisional), after +₹1,143 crore on Sep 1 and +₹6,688 crore on Sep 2 — a ₹7,832 crore net buy over two days, the best FII run in 10 months
DII +₹4,977 crore net buy on Sep 3 (NSE cash provisional)

Combined institutional flows were net positive (+₹2,631 crore) even on a down day: DIIs bought more than twice what FIIs sold, and the FII pullback w...

News

Market movers

RBI closes FCNR-B swap window after banks raise $136.38 billion — ~70% above the RBI's own estimate — the sector's deepest liquidity pool since May 2022

Banks have 3-5 years of cheap, hedge-protected dollars (SBI and ICICI alone raised ~$31bn and ~$17.9bn) plus record domestic liqu...

high
Adani Ports reports record August cargo of ~50 MMT (+19% YoY); Kotak upgrades to Buy (₹2,000), HSBC/Nomura/JPMorgan reaffirm ₹2,000-2,200 targets

Throughput growth accelerated to +19% (Apr-Aug +16%) at a time of tariff and Hormuz worries, and the broker cluster arrived withi...

high
SEBI chairperson says no CAS (true-to-label) rule changes are imminent; consultation paper expected within about a week

The verbal assurance removes the immediate overhang that drove the June-July exchange sell-off and BSE bounced ~4% on it, but the...

moderate
NSE IPO nears approval: DRHP clearance 'very close' for a ~6% offer-for-sale (~₹30,000 crore, about US$3.2 billion); listing on BSE expected around Sep 25

A successful listing would unlock value for existing shareholders including SBI and Bank of Baroda, but a ₹30,000-crore OFS in la...

moderate
NIFTY NA NA
SENSEX NA NA
GOLD NA NA