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Immovable lifecycle review calendar

Blue dots are upcoming. Completed reviews turn green for correct thesis, red for wrong thesis, and orange when timing was off.

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May 2026

Selected Date

10 May 2026

Great Eastern Shipping

GESHIP • REVIEW_COMPLETE • sector tailwind

Hold 10 days • Review / exit 10 May 2026

+0.00% Post-mortem done
Thesis

Great Eastern Shipping is a small-cap shipping scout with a low valuation, net-cash balance sheet, and heavy April 29 buying as the stock outperformed the transport-services sector. StockAnalysis shows price above the 200-DMA and acceptable RSI in the latest overview snapshot, while market data showed strong volume. This is a tactical shipping and offshore momentum trade, not a multi-month call.

Prices

Entry: ₹1,556.90

Current: ₹1,556.90

P&L: +0.00%

Hold Plan

Target hold: 10 days

Held so far: 11 days

Review / exit: 10 May 2026

Review complete

Assumptions

A1: The breakout attempt holds above the prior 52-week-high area after the April 29 volume surge.

A2: Shipping-rate and offshore sentiment do not reverse sharply over the next week.

Lifecycle Timeline
Bought 30 Apr 2026

Accepted from analysis task analysis-2026-04-30-0830

Flagged for a closer look 1 May 2026

GESHIP closed near Rs 1,576.8 on April 30, modestly above the Rs 1,556.9 entry, and the shipping value thesis is still alive. Move to WATCH because RSI and stochastic are now above preferred limits after the fast move, so the trade needs a tight trailing stop rather than fresh averaging.

Back to normal 7 May 2026

At about Rs 1,552, the stock is flat versus the Rs 1,556.90 entry and remains above the 200-DMA while the Q4 event is still ahead.

Flagged for a closer look 7 May 2026

At Rs 1,552.40 on May 7, GESHIP is near the Rs 1,556.90 entry and still above the 200-DMA, but the tactical trade has not extended yet.

Back to normal 7 May 2026

At Rs 1,552.40, the stock is nearly flat versus the Rs 1,556.90 entry and remains above the 200-DMA with bullish MACD, so the tactical thesis is still alive.

Flagged for a closer look 11 May 2026

GESHIP remains above its 200-SMA with RSI 64.90, but stochastic at 78.96 and the expired tactical hold window argue for tighter monitoring.

Reviewed and closed 11 May 2026

Post-mortem postmortem-REC-20260430-06-GESHIP-2026-05-11 completed on 2026-05-11T08:48:50+05:30.

Post-Mortem

partially correct

Exit n a
Review Return

Review price: ₹1,588.30

Full hold: +2.02%

Actual: +2.02%

Benchmarks

NIFTY 50: +0.74%

Excess: +1.27%

Sector excess: -2.78%

What If

Held full: +2.02%

Exited at WATCH: +1.28%

Thesis Analysis

The tactical long produced a weak positive return and beat NIFTY, helped by fleet addition news and firm dry-bulk rates, but it lagged the transportation benchmark.

Exit Analysis

The pick was still active at review, so there was no realized exit to judge. Holding through review was acceptable but no longer sector-leading.

Verified Assumptions
A1 Failed

The stock did not consistently hold above the April 29 breakout/high area; it closed 1523.8 on May 5 and 1575.1 on May 6 before recovering.

A2 Verified

Dry-bulk sentiment stayed supportive: BDI reached 3034 on May 7 before a modest May 8 pullback to 2978, still near highs.

Lessons
moderate sector_tailwind_relative_strength_gate

Shipping tailwind picks need explicit sector-relative confirmation; a stock can make money while still underperforming the transportation benchmark.

Corporate Events

No corporate events attached.