Bajaj Auto has a clear Q4/FY26 catalyst: record standalone PAT, record volumes, and a Rs 5,633 crore tender buyback at Rs 12,000. Technicals are extended but still inside the RSI gate and above the 200-DMA.

Prices

Entry: ₹10,650.00

Current: ₹10,801.00

P&L: +1.42%

Hold Plan

Target hold: 7 days

Held so far: 7 days

Review / exit: 29 May 2026

Review complete

Assumptions

A1: Tender-buyback interest keeps the stock supported into the 29 May record date.

Lifecycle Timeline

Bought 22 May 2026

Accepted from analysis task analysis-2026-05-22-0830

Confirmed and held 25 May 2026

At about Rs 10,566, Bajaj Auto is slightly below entry but still above the 200-DMA with the Rs 12,000 buyback catalyst intact.

Flagged for a closer look 26 May 2026

Auto-WATCH: ex_dividend event on 2026-05-29 is 3 days away

Reviewed and closed 29 May 2026

Post-mortem postmortem-REC-20260522-04-BAJAJ-AUTO-2026-05-29 completed on 2026-05-29T03:16:46Z.

Post-Mortem

partially correct

Exit correct

Review Return

Review price: ₹10,801.00

Full hold: +1.42%

Actual: +1.42%

Benchmarks

NIFTY 50: +0.79%

Excess: +0.63%

Sector excess: -1.84%

What If

Held full: +1.42%

Exited at WATCH: -1.37%

Thesis Analysis

Q4/FY26 records and the Rs 12,000 tender buyback were valid catalysts. The stock gained and beat NIFTY, but the 12% target was not approached and it lagged NIFTY Auto.

Exit Analysis

The 7-day earnings-play review was appropriate because the buyback record-date catalyst had arrived and sector-relative momentum was weaker than the raw return suggested.

Verified Assumptions

A1 Verified

The May 29 buyback record date remained intact, and the stock recovered from the May 26 WATCH price to finish the review window above entry.

Lessons

moderate earnings_play_sector_relative_strength_gate

Tender-buyback catalysts can support absolute returns, but require a sector-relative check before treating the setup as a strong earnings-play hit.

Corporate Events

ex dividend 29 May 2026

upcoming

agm 21 Jul 2026

upcoming