This Month
5
0 upcoming, 5 historical review dates.
Calendar
Immovable lifecycle review calendar
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0 post-mortem tasks pending in tasks/pending/
Completed
5
Review dates with post-mortems already ingested.
Selected Date
2 Jun 2026
Ashok Leyland
ASHOKLEY • REVIEW_COMPLETE • earnings play
Hold 4 days • Review / exit 2 Jun 2026
-4.48% Post-mortem done
Ashok Leyland
ASHOKLEY • REVIEW_COMPLETE • earnings play
Hold 4 days • Review / exit 2 Jun 2026
Ashok Leyland has a fresh Q4/FY26 catalyst with record revenue, EBITDA, PAT and CV volumes. The stock is above its 200-DMA, RSI is near 52, and MACD is bullish, so the setup is cleaner than more extended power and capital-goods movers.
Prices
Entry: ₹164.00
Current: ₹156.65
P&L: -4.48%
Hold Plan
Target hold: 4 days
Held so far: 3 days
Review / exit: 2 Jun 2026
Review complete
Assumptions
A1: The post-result move can extend toward Rs 182 if the market rewards record CV volumes and cash generation.
Bought 29 May 2026
Accepted from analysis task analysis-2026-05-29-0830
Sold 1 Jun 2026
At Rs 156.65 versus Rs 164 entry, the earnings trade has broken below the recent 200-SMA area with bearish MACD and a near 5% drawdown.
Reviewed and closed 2 Jun 2026
Post-mortem postmortem-REC-20260529-06-ASHOKLEY-2026-06-02 completed on 2026-06-02T08:47:54+05:30.
Post-Mortem
Exit correctpartially correct
Review Return
Review price: ₹149.80
Full hold: -8.66%
Actual: -4.48%
Benchmarks
NIFTY 50: -0.70%
Excess: -3.78%
Sector excess: -2.79%
What If
Held full: -8.66%
Exited at WATCH: -4.48%
Thesis Analysis
Q4/FY26 record revenue, EBITDA, PAT, volumes and cash generation were verified, but the market rejected the catalyst and the stock underperformed NIFTY and NIFTY Auto.
Exit Analysis
The early exit limited the loss to -4.48%; holding to review would have deepened the drawdown to about -8.66%, beyond the earnings-play tolerance.
Verified Assumptions
A1 Failed
The stock did not extend toward Rs 182 after record results; it fell sharply to the review-window price near Rs 149.80.
Lessons
high post_result_price_confirmation_gate
Record earnings alone should not justify an earnings-play entry after an immediate post-result selloff; require market confirmation before accepting a short hold catalyst.
moderate earnings_play_momentum_exit_gate
For earnings plays, a break below the 200-DMA with worsening momentum is a valid exit trigger even before the planned review date.
ex dividend 3 Jun 2026
upcoming