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1 Oct 2026
State Bank of India
SBIN • WATCH • value fundamental
Hold 48 days • Review / exit 1 Oct 2026
-6.03% Post-mortem pending
State Bank of India
SBIN • WATCH • value fundamental
Hold 48 days • Review / exit 1 Oct 2026
SBI's record Q1 FY27 (PAT +10.2% to ₹21,121 cr, NII +14.9%, GNPA 1.47% - lowest in over two decades, RoE 17.87%) beat estimates across the board, and 39 analysts rate it Strong Buy with a ₹1,260 consensus target (~16% upside). At ~11.6x trailing PE with the PSU-bank rally and 14-15% credit growth guidance, it is the cheapest high-quality re-rating story in the market.
Prices
Entry: ₹1,083.00
Current: ₹1,017.70
P&L: -6.03%
Hold Plan
Target hold: 48 days
Held so far: 21 days
Review / exit: 1 Oct 2026
27 days left
Assumptions
A1: NIM holds near 3.00% and credit growth stays 14-15% as guided through H1 FY27
A2: Stock breaks above the ₹1,115-1,135 resistance zone to resume the uptrend toward the ₹1,260 consensus target
Bought 14 Aug 2026
Accepted from analysis task analysis-2026-08-14-0830
Confirmed and held 17 Aug 2026
CMP ₹1,067.7 vs entry ₹1,083 (-1.4%); record Q1 (PAT +10.2% to ₹21,121 cr), ICICI Sec raised to ₹1,300, consensus Strong Buy ₹1,220; shallow pullback, well above stop (₹1,018).
Flagged for a closer look 21 Aug 2026
At ₹1,043 vs entry ₹1,083 (-3.7%), the post-results pop to ₹1,123 has fully faded and the price has not confirmed the Q1 beat (learned rule: post-result price confirmation); the 6% stop (₹1,018) is not breached and broker targets of ₹1,290-1,350 are unchanged, so hold but do not add.
Back to normal 1 Sept 2026
At ~₹1,060 (entry ₹1,083, -2.1%) the thesis is intact - record Q1 FY27 (PAT +10.2%, GNPA 1.47%) with ICICI Securities at ₹1,300 and consensus targets near ₹1,260 - but September is seasonally SBI's worst month (down 8 of last 10 years, avg -3.4%), so keep the existing stop (~₹1,018) and do not add.
Flagged for a closer look 2 Sept 2026
At ~Rs 1,030 the stock is ~4.9% below entry (Rs 1,083) and within ~1% of the 6% stop (Rs 1,018) after the Sep 1 PSU-bank pullback, but the thesis is intact - Jefferies reiterated Buy (TP Rs 1,320) on Sep 1 and Q1 beat on record-low GNPA - so flag it; the automatic stop EXIT fires if Rs 1,018 breaks.
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