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16 Oct 2026
Larsen & Toubro
LT • ACTIVE • value fundamental
Hold 72 days • Review / exit 16 Oct 2026
-1.77% Post-mortem pending
Larsen & Toubro
LT • ACTIVE • value fundamental
Hold 72 days • Review / exit 16 Oct 2026
L&T combines a proven Lakshya26 execution track record (20% order CAGR, 16% revenue CAGR, RoE improved from 10% to 16.6%) with a credible new Lakshya31 plan targeting 12-15% revenue CAGR. The stock trades above its 200-DMA after recovering from a May Death Cross, with JPMorgan setting a street-high ₹5,060 target on easing Middle East tensions and newly emerging growth engines in semiconductors, green hydrogen, defence, and AI infrastructure.
Prices
Entry: ₹4,047.00
Current: ₹3,975.40
P&L: -1.77%
Hold Plan
Target hold: 72 days
Held so far: 30 days
Review / exit: 16 Oct 2026
42 days left
Assumptions
A1: Lakshya31 growth targets (12-15% revenue CAGR, 10-12% order inflow CAGR) are achievable given ₹17.8 trillion prospects pipeline and Middle East reconstruction opportunity
A2: US-Iran ceasefire holds and Strait of Hormuz remains open, enabling Middle East order execution without disruption
A3: New growth engines (semiconductors, green hydrogen, data centers) begin contributing measurable revenue within FY27
Bought 5 Aug 2026
Accepted from analysis task analysis-2026-06-23-0830
Confirmed and held 13 Aug 2026
At Rs 4,049 (flat vs entry Rs 4,047); the Rs 15,000 cr AI-factory order, ONGC offshore wins and Rs 7.79 lakh cr order book keep the Rs 4,842 target on track, with JPMorgan's Rs 5,060 target as the street-high check.
Flagged for a closer look 2 Sept 2026
At ~Rs 3,999 (-1.2% from entry) with order momentum still strong (13 orders since July, ~Rs 1.11 lakh cr quarterly inflow est., Dubai airport win), but the core de-escalation driver has reversed: Iran struck targets including in the UAE and Hormuz is effectively shut, raising execution risk on the Gulf business that is ~a third of revenue.
Back to normal 3 Sept 2026
At ~₹3,989 (entry ₹4,047, -1.4%), L&T has fresh support: 13 order wins since July including ~₹1.1 lakh crore of estimated Q2 inflow on Middle East revival (Bloomberg, Aug 26), Citi reiterated Buy ₹4,650 on Sep 2, and Jefferies lists it as a preferred industrial — the thesis is stronger than at entry.
No corporate events attached.