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Immovable lifecycle review calendar

Blue dots are upcoming. Completed reviews turn green for correct thesis, red for wrong thesis, and orange when timing was off.

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April 2126

Selected Date

22 Sept 2026

Sun Pharmaceutical Industries

SUNPHARMA • WATCH • value fundamental

Hold 48 days • Review / exit 22 Sept 2026

-3.57% Post-mortem pending
Thesis

Sun Pharma has fresh Q1 FY27 evidence with net profit up about 27% YoY and sales up about 10%, while the stock is above its 50-DMA and 200-DMA after a controlled pullback from a recent 52-week high. The pick adds liquid pharma exposure, but the stop must respect the post-results support zone because Q1 revenue missed some estimates.

Prices

Entry: ₹1,939.80

Current: ₹1,870.50

P&L: -3.57%

Hold Plan

Target hold: 48 days

Held so far: 48 days

Review / exit: 22 Sept 2026

Due today

Assumptions

A1: The stock should hold above Rs 1,880 after the post-results pullback.

A2: The MOFSL innovation-pipeline upside case remains active through the review window.

Lifecycle Timeline
Bought 5 Aug 2026

Accepted from analysis task analysis-2026-06-15-0830

Confirmed and held 13 Aug 2026

At Rs 1,941 (flat vs entry Rs 1,939.8); Q1 PAT +27% with Organon acquisition on track and Motilal Oswal Buy (Rs 2,310) support the Rs 2,140 target; stock sits ~8% above its 200-DMA (Rs 1,798).

Flagged for a closer look 18 Aug 2026

₹1,881 vs entry ₹1,939.8 (-3.0%); Aug 17 fall (~-2.5%) made it a worst-in-Nifty name - now below the ~₹1,902 50-DMA though above the ₹1,798 200-DMA and the ₹1,823 stop; monitor the post-results support zone ~₹1,850.

Back to normal 21 Aug 2026

At ₹1,898.5 vs entry ₹1,939.8 (-2.1%), the stock was on WATCH after Q1 revenue missed; it has since recovered from ~₹1,795 to ~₹1,900 (top NSE gainer on Aug 19, +1.3%) and the Organon deal remains on track, so upgrade back to HOLD with the ₹2,140 target intact.

Flagged for a closer look 10 Sept 2026

At Rs 1,865 the position is 3.9% below its Rs 1,939.80 entry and only about 2% above its Rs 1,823 stop, and the stock has closed below its 50-day average of Rs 1,910.70 every day in September, which breaks a condition of the original thesis. It still stands above its 200-day average of Rs 1,822.50, and Bernstein (Outperform, Rs 2,235) and HSBC (Buy, Rs 2,120) see the US pricing deal as manageable, so this is a tighten-and-watch rather than an exit ahead of the September 22 review date.

Back to normal 18 Sept 2026

At Rs 1,860.90 Sun Pharma is 4.1% below the Rs 1,939.80 entry but still above its Rs 1,823.90 200-day average, and it is recovering along with a sector that hit a record high on 17 September. The US decision to make its medicine tariff exemption permanent for over two years removes the single largest overhang on the stock, and Bernstein (Rs 2,235) and HSBC (Rs 2,120) both stand well above the current price, with the pick's own review date falling on 22 September.

Flagged for a closer look 21 Sept 2026

At Rs 1,852 it is 4.5% below the Rs 1,939.8 entry and only 1.5% above its Rs 1,823.4 stop, the review date is 2026-09-22, and the stock has drifted from Rs 1,929 on 1 September while the pharma sector made record highs, so it is now lagging its own sector.

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